Yesterday, I read this:
Less than a week from a potentially landmark presidential election, black voters in Florida are turning out in huge numbers to vote early, according to an Orlando Sentinel analysis.
So are people 55 and older. And Democrats.
But voters younger than 35 — especially the college-age group that has drawn so much attention from Democrat Barack Obama’s campaign — are doing what they have largely done in elections past: staying home.
…
*Young people are turning out in disproportionately low numbers. Though major registration efforts this year boosted their totals to nearly 25 percent of the total electorate, voters younger than 35 represent only 15 percent of early voters, making them the worst-performing demographic group in the analysis.
So, once again, the young voters don’t.
Sure, this is just about early voting, and we won’t know for sure till next week whether the young voters really couldn’t be bothered to vote or whether they just waited til Election Day.
But one thing might just convince them to wake up on Tuesday morning to vote: the race is tightening.
The national polls show a closing gap between Obama’s lead and McCain’s support. Many of the so-called battleground states still show that the candidates’ leads are so slim as to be within the margin of error.
And most significantly: there is still a small but significant percent of the population which considers itself to be undecided. I personally feel that these undecided folks will mostly break to McCain in the end, so the big question is where these undecided voters live. If it’s Ohio, Florida, Missouri, Colorado, Virgina, or North Carolina, the impact could be huge.
Whether young voters support McCain or Obama (though the theory is that they are probably Obama supporters), they’re more likely to feel the urgency to vote if the race is tight.
If they’re still paying attention at this point.
Thoughts?
Posted under election 2008, politics
This post was written by stuperb on October 31, 2008






